Boston and Buchholz spoil Samuel's Orioles debut

Baseball Betting Lines

06/04/2010 - Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Clay Buchholz threw his second career shutout to help the Boston Red Sox rout the Orioles, 11-0, in Juan Samuel's managerial debut on the Baltimore bench.

Buchholz (8-3), who threw only his third career complete game and first since 2008, set a new career-high in wins with the five-hitter. Ironically, both of his whitewashes have come against Baltimore, although the first one was a no- hitter in his second career start on September 1, 2007.

The 25-year-old walked only one batter and struck out two to move into a tie atop the AL's win list with Tampa Bay's David Price. It was the fifth consecutive start in which Buchholz earned a win and Boston's fifth overall in six games.

Kevin Youkilis, Adrian Beltre and Marco Scutaro all homered for the Red Sox, who snapped a four-game losing streak to the Orioles.

Chris Tillman (0-1) was unable to get out of the second inning for Baltimore, which was playing its first game since the firing of manager Dave Trembley. Trembley, who ended his O's tenure with a 187-283 record, guided the Orioles to a league-worst 15-39 record at the time of his dismissal.

Trembley was replaced with Samuel, who is making his managerial debut after a 16-year playing career that ended in 1998. Samuel was unable to change the results in the short-term for Baltimore, which had just one runner reach third in its ninth consecutive defeat.

Tillman, meanwhile, gave up four runs, five hits and two walks in just 1 1/3 frames.

The Red Sox dominated from start to finish, scoring three runs in the first to get going.

Tillman quickly allowed Boston to load the bases with nobody out, allowing a leadoff single to Scutaro before issuing walks to Dustin Pedroia and David Ortiz.

Baltimore nearly got out of it with minimal damage, as Youkilis struck out and was followed by a Victor Martinez RBI groundout. J.D. Drew, though, came up and hammered a two-run double to center for a 3-0 advantage.

The O's put two runners on in the home half but couldn't score, and Pedroia added an RBI single in the second for a 4-0 lead, prompting Baltimore to bring in Mark Hendrickson out of the bullpen.

In the fourth, Bill Hall reached on a passed ball third strike leading off, and Scutaro followed with a single. Hendrickson retired the next two hitters, but Youkilis stepped up and belted a three-run homer to left for a 7-0 cushion. The lead grew to eight on Beltre's leadoff shot in the fifth off Matt Albers.

Scutaro's solo shot off Frank Mata in the eighth made it 9-0. Beltre's RBI double and Darnell McDonald's RBI groundout against Alberto Castillo in the ninth accounted for the final score.

Game Notes

Buchholz has won nine straight road starts, dating back to August 19, 2009...Red Sox starters have gone at least six innings in six straight games...The Orioles still lead the season series, 4-3...Boston has won six straight road games overall...Samuel was previously Baltimore's third base coach. Triple-A Norfolk manager Gary Allenson was promoted to take over Samuel's position on an interim basis.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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