Thunder return home to face Hornets

Basketball Betting Lines

03/10/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - While the Oklahoma City Thunder seem to be well on their way towards ending a playoff drought, the New Orleans Hornets enter tonight's showdown between these teams in danger of missing out of the postseason fray.

The injury-plagued Hornets head to the Ford Center, their one-time temporary home when displaced by Hurricane Katrina a few years back, in 11th place in the competitive Western Conference and five games behind Portland for the eighth and final playoff seed. A recent four-game losing streak has hurt the club's postseason chances, although New Orleans was able to end that slide with Monday's 135-131 triumph over visiting Golden State.

David West and Marcus Thornton each scored 28 points to pace the Hornets, while Darren Collison dished out a career-best 20 assists to go along with 16 points. The rookie's assist total tied Phoenix's Steve Nash for the most by an individual in the NBA this season.

West added 13 rebounds on the night, while Emeka Okafor also notched a double- double with 22 points and 11 boards. The Hornets outrebounded the Warriors by a 44-23 margin for the game in addition to shooting just under 59 percent from the field.

Peja Stojakovic scored 16 points for New Orleans before exiting in the third quarter with a strained groin. The veteran forward's status for tonight's matchup is uncertain.

In a tight game down the stretch, Golden State held a 123-121 lead with three minutes left before the Hornets ran off nine consecutive points. Thornton ended the rally with three layups as New Orleans took a seven-point advantage with 1:23 to play.

Golden State closed within one on back-to-back three-pointers from Stephen Curry, the second coming with 30.7 seconds remaining, but Collison sank a floater on the ensuing possession as the Hornets held on.

"We just wanted to execute down the stretch," Collison said. "We haven't been doing that down the stretch the last parts of the games we've been losing. It was important we get a good look at it."

While the Hornets have been struggling as of late, the Thunder have posted a sensational 14-3 record since January 29 to move into sixth place in the West standings, just a half-game back of fifth-seeded Phoenix. Oklahoma City has been especially tough at home during that span, having won seven of eight tilts at the Ford Center.

One of the Thunder's victories during its current strong stretch came against the Hornets in New Orleans back on February 3. That snapped a 10-game losing streak for Oklahoma City in this series, though, and the Hornets have prevailed in their last four matchups as the visitor versus the Thunder/Sonics franchise.

Oklahoma City returns home after completing a three-game road trip with Sunday's 108-102 verdict over Sacramento, with Kevin Durant amassing 27 points and eight rebounds to lead the way.

Russell Westbrook added 21 points and eight boards in the victory, the Thunder's fifth in its last six games, with rookie James Harden contributing 14 points off the bench.

Oklahoma City, which is 19-11 at the Ford Center this season, began its recent swing with a loss at Denver on March 3 before bouncing back with Friday's 104-87 win over the Los Angeles Clippers.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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